Leveling and Rolling Decision Trees by Game State

Every planning phase you make the same decision: level, roll, or bank. Advanced play is having a near-automatic answer for every combination of game state, so the decision costs no time and you can spend the planning phase on positioning and lobby mapping instead. This chapter lays out the tree.

The four state variables

• Health: comfortable (60+), okay (40–60), danger (below ~35).
• Gold: below 50, at 50, surplus (above 50).
• Board: winning, losing close, losing hard.
• Stage / plan phase: early, mid, late — and whether you're at a breakpoint (one buy/level from a discrete jump).

The tree

Board is winning

• Gold at/below 50: bank. Don't spend to win harder. Buy XP only with income you can't bank anyway.
• Surplus gold: buy XP toward your target level. Don't roll — you're winning, save the rolls for when you need them.
• At a breakpoint that would extend the win streak / spike you: take it, even below 50, if the jump is large.

Board is losing close, health okay

• Surplus gold: roll the surplus (down to 50) if you're at the right level for your target; otherwise buy the level. Look for the cheap fix — a 2★ on a filler, a completed item.
• At a breakpoint: spend to complete it, down to ~40, then reassess.
• Not at a breakpoint, gold at 50: bank one more round, take the small loss, and hit your next planned window.

Board is losing hard, or health in danger

• At a breakpoint (one copy/level from a real jump): roll or level into it now, down to 20 if needed. This is the stabilization window.
• Not at a breakpoint, right level: roll down to ~20–30 for the cheap upgrades that stop the bleeding (front-line stars, filler bodies, an item). Set the stop-loss before you start.
• Wrong level for your carry's rarity: buy XP hard — a bigger board of 2★s often stabilizes better than rolling a rarity that's barely in your shop.
• Contest math is dead (outs gone): don't roll for the carry at all — pivot or play the 2★ line and spend on levels/items instead.

Special states

• Hyper roll active, level 4–5, mid game: roll to near-zero for the target; everything else waits.
• Slow roll active, level 6–7, target uncontested: roll only the surplus above 50 each round; hold level until the 3★s land.
• Capped board, comfortable health, late game: bank for flexibility; spend only on a genuine best-in-slot upgrade or an emergency.
• A contesting player just died: override — roll your surplus now regardless of the rest of the tree, the pool just opened.

Using the tree

Read your four state variables, jump to the branch, execute. The point isn't to follow it robotically forever — it's to make the standard cases automatic so your attention goes to the non-standard ones: the pivot read, the positioning puzzle, the forecast that says you'll hit a wall in two rounds.